俄罗斯与乌克兰关系走势分析

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乌克兰,走势分析,俄罗斯,关系
俄罗斯与乌克兰关系走势分析

沈莉华

【期刊名称】《俄罗斯学刊》【年(卷),期】2014(0)3

【摘要】The future relationship between Russia and Ukraine will be affected and restricted by various factors. From Russia's point of view, to deep the cooperation with Ukraine and other CIS countries is its long-term strategic goal. Although, this goal suffered a setback after Crimea joined into Russian territory, Russia will spare no effort to maintain influence on Ukraine. For Ukraine, join into the European Union (the big family of European civilization) as soon as possible, is the principal goal of Ukraine's foreign policy in the future. Considering the factors like the negative effects of the Ukraine’s westernization policy to Russia and Ukraine’s energy depends on Russia seriously, Ukraine will be the buffer zone between Russia and the European Union over a period of time. The Ukraine geopolitical game around the European Union, NATO and Russia will exist for a long time. Ukraine's domestic east-west differences are unbridgeable. The interaction of variety factors and political forces determine that the future relationship between Russia and Ukraine will be full of variables.%未来俄乌关系将受到多种因素的影响和制约。从俄罗斯角度看，深化与乌克兰等独联体国家合作是其长期的战略目标。尽管这一目标在克里米亚并入俄罗斯版图后严重受挫，俄罗斯仍将不遗余力地维持对乌克兰的影响力。对乌克

兰而言，尽快加入欧盟，融入欧洲文明大家庭是未来乌克兰外交政策的首要目标。考虑到乌克兰西化政策给俄罗斯带来的消极影响和乌克兰对俄罗斯严重的能源依赖等因素，未来一段时间内乌克兰将成为俄罗斯和欧盟之间的缓冲地带。在欧盟、北约与俄罗斯围绕乌克兰地缘政治博弈长期存在，而乌克兰国内东西部分歧难以弥合的大背景下，多种因素、多种政治力量交互作用决定了未来俄乌关系将充满变数。【总页数】11页(P35-45) 【作者】沈莉华

【作者单位】黑龙江大学马克思主义学院; 黑龙江大学俄语学院在站【正文语种】中文

【中图分类】D83/87.512.2.511.3 【相关文献】

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4.俄罗斯的"欧洲梦"断与"重返欧洲"—— 乌克兰危机以来俄欧关系浅析 [J], 吕萍 5.俄罗斯与乌克兰关系走势 [J], 巨慧慧

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